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EU Brexit thread

#681 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 07:23

The European Union Referendum Act did not state any consequences that would follow from the vote, nor was it legally binding on any government. Thus it actually has no real status legally. Given that the UK is a parliamentary democracy it is therefore quite right that parliament is sovereign. The government and other MPs could easily have made it so that the EURA was sufficient of itself without requiring a further vote.

Of course the government does not need a further Act giving away the detailed negotiating position as is being suggested in some quarters. A fairly simple Bill will suffice as it would be almost impossible for the opposition parties to block it without losing a huge standing in the country. It might yet not come to that either as the government has an appeal going through next month.

Anyone who is hoping (or fearing) that this ruling will mean that Article 50 is not triggered is going to be extremely disappointed (or relieved).
(-: Zel :-)
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#682 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 07:28

Some thoughts from afar (written as Zel was posting above). "this is your decision, the government will implement what you decide" sounds like a pledge, but so does "Read my lips, no new taxes", (approximate quote from the first Bush. Pledges get broken. But, on the other hand, there has been an election (or rather a PM selection by Parliamentary vote) since the referendum. Teresa May said she would implement the choice made in the referendum, and she is the PM. I am right so far? It would seem that Parliament is involved already. I am not an expert here, but the Parliament could have a vote of no confidence and replace her, could they not? Or maybe she gets a minimum length of stay before that can happen?

Anyway, I hope you work it all out, but from afar I am not seeing anything dictatorial about an elected Prime Minister doing what she promised to do. I was hoping Brexit would fail. I am hoping Clinton wins. We can all hope, but dreams don't always come true.
Ken
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#683 User is offline   Al_U_Card 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 07:40

Brexit was an expression of democratic principles versus the "oppression" of un-elected bureaucrats deciding how citizens of their and other countries should behave and be allowed to act.

Clinton represents all that is good (on the surface) and all that is bad (the fetid under-belly) where large sums of money and the exercise of power are concerned. Those re-discovered e-mails will require Obama to pardon her much like Bill pardoned Marc Rich. The well-connected get to operate with impunity because they can finger their associates.
The Grand Design, reflected in the face of Chaos...it's a fluke!
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#684 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 07:45

View Postkenberg, on 2016-November-04, 07:28, said:

Anyway, I hope you work it all out, but from afar I am not seeing anything dictatorial about an elected Prime Minister doing what she promised to do.

Obama promised to change healthcare but he was not allowed to create a healthcare bill in the HoR or Senate. His role is to enact what the elected houses bring. Parliament (together with the Lords) has the same role as these houses in the UK. In theory at least. In practice the ability of the PM to give parliamentary privileges means that they also control parliament in addition to their executive powers. But bypassing parliament completely could easily be seen as dictatorial - Kaitlyn would certainly label it so if HC tried it! ;)

As to the other points, yes there was an election. The PM has a fixed term of office now (a recent change) but this can be cut short by a vote of no confidence. There is some precedent for tying a vote of confidence to constitutional change too - John Major did so to force through the Maastricht treaty when parliament voted against it in 1992. Am confident that this will not happen for Brexit though!
(-: Zel :-)
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#685 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 08:41

The legal case is interesting, a court in Northern Ireland ruled the opposite way on the same facts and similar law. The point in question is whether you can rescind the invoking of article 50 after you've done it, and nobody has a clue. It would probably require a European court to decide that because it's unclear.
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#686 User is offline   mycroft 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 10:00

Reading the court summary, all it's saying is that the State - Theresa May and her cabinet, "advising the Queen" - can't do this unilaterally, even with a mandate from the people (such as it was). Parliament needs to be consulted and must be the organ of government that triggers Art. 50. Given British History, being told that "the King can't do what he wants, without the backing of the people" - is ... a good thing?

As people are saying, that just means some more delay; the Conservatives have enough of a majority to ram this through without too much issue. What I have read, and think is a valid point, is that it will give an opportunity for Scotland to make very clear that it doesn't agree with Brexit, and will water the seeds of IndyRef2. Plus it will actually allow for debate to seep out into the real world, and after 800 years or so, the tactics of Loyal Opposition delay are very well organized.

Personally (as opposed to in my opinion), I am very disappointed. In the last few years, I have been allowed to apply for dual citizenship, and I was strongly tempted to go through the process. The biggest reason to do that is going away, and I am disappointed.
When I go to sea, don't fear for me, Fear For The Storm -- Birdie and the Swansong (tSCoSI)
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#687 User is offline   fromageGB 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 17:40

View PostCyberyeti, on 2016-November-04, 08:41, said:

The legal case is interesting, a court in Northern Ireland ruled the opposite way on the same facts and similar law. The point in question is whether you can rescind the invoking of article 50 after you've done it, and nobody has a clue. It would probably require a European court to decide that because it's unclear.

What I find interesting is that after this high court decision has been upheld by the court of appeal, it will be the EU court that ultimately decides whether we can leave the EU !

Well, not really, but in a case like this the legality of their jurisdiction is arguable.

Incidentally, the reason I referred to "bigwigs" is that I do not think I have seen a bigger one : Posted Image
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#688 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 17:44

the Supreme Court was established by Part 3 of the Constitutional Reform Act 2005 and started work on 1 October 2009
because of the doctrine of parliamentary sovereignty, the Supreme Court is much more limited in its powers of judicial review than the constitutional or supreme courts of some other countries. It cannot overturn any primary legislation made by Parliament.
https://en.wikipedia..._United_Kingdom

the twelve justices do not all hear every case. Typically a case is heard by a panel of five justices, though sometimes the panel may consist of three, seven or nine members. All twelve justices are also members of the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council and spend some of their time in that capacity.
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#689 User is offline   Vampyr 

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Posted 2016-November-04, 18:46

View Postwank, on 2016-October-13, 15:58, said:

a load of xenophobes and other ignoramuses screwed me and my descendants. why would anyone not be bitter about that?


Sure, you might be unhappy about the potential effect on you. My comment was about how bitter (and possibly jealous) Trinidad was.
I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones -- Albert Einstein
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#690 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 15:43

View PostfromageGB, on 2016-November-04, 17:40, said:

What I find interesting is that after this high court decision has been upheld by the court of appeal, it will be the EU court that ultimately decides whether we can leave the EU !


LOL. You come back to post this non-sense?
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#691 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 19:18

View Postcherdano, on 2016-November-05, 15:43, said:

LOL. You come back to post this non-sense?


It's not quite as stupid as it seems.

The question was never whether we could leave, or whether a parliamentary debate was required, but whether we needed a debate before invoking article 50. This depends on European law as to whether you can rescind invoking article 50 after you've done it. If not you need the debate now, if you can, it can wait. A court in NI ruled you could skip the debate now, the high court disagreed, in fact only a European court can really answer whether you can rescind article 50. If the court of appeal overturns the ruling, then it goes to the supreme court and then indeed to Europe.
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#692 User is offline   PeterAlan 

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Posted 2016-November-05, 19:34

View PostCyberyeti, on 2016-November-05, 19:18, said:

... If the court of appeal overturns the ruling, then it goes to the supreme court ...

It's going direct to the Supreme Court, skipping the Appeal Court step.
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#693 User is offline   Aberlour10 

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Posted 2017-March-29, 13:06

It looks like at the moment... it will be a dirty divorce.
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#694 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-March-29, 15:51

View PostAberlour10, on 2017-March-29, 13:06, said:

It looks like at the moment... it will be a dirty divorce.


I'm hoping a certain amount of common sense will break out.

I'm hearing a lot more sense from politicians actually IN the member states as against the ones in Brussels whose toys are going out the pram.
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#695 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2017-March-30, 08:12

France and Germany have upcoming elections. The results of these will have a very large impact on the way the negotiations might go. That makes the time before those elections something of a positioning game. I doubt we will really get down to the nitty-gritty of the thing for some months.
(-: Zel :-)
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#696 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2017-March-30, 14:22

View PostZelandakh, on 2017-March-30, 08:12, said:

France and Germany have upcoming elections. The results of these will have a very large impact on the way the negotiations might go. That makes the time before those elections something of a positioning game. I doubt we will really get down to the nitty-gritty of the thing for some months.

France would obviously have a big impact if it went wrong.
But could you predict the effect of a Schulze victory versus a Merkel reelection? Obviously, Merkel has been at this game for a bit longer, and she knows what she is doing. Probably so would Schulze, but you never know beforehand.
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#697 User is offline   Aberlour10 

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Posted 2017-March-30, 14:46

View PostZelandakh, on 2017-March-30, 08:12, said:

France and Germany have upcoming elections. The results of these will have a very large impact on the way the negotiations might go. That makes the time before those elections something of a positioning game. I doubt we will really get down to the nitty-gritty of the thing for some months.


Surely, Germany and France take always the leading role in such negotiations,,,but this time there are more players at the table. The final agreement about exit must be signed by all 26 others in the EU,,,and all of them have different interests....take we for example Poland

the key problem is the access to the EU single market....many countries, especially Poland will agree only if the free movement for EU citiziens will remain.

and now?
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#698 User is offline   Cyberyeti 

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Posted 2017-March-30, 17:38

View PostAberlour10, on 2017-March-30, 14:46, said:

Surely, Germany and France take always the leading role in such negotiations,,,but this time there are more players at the table. The final agreement about exit must be signed by all 26 others in the EU,,,and all of them have different interests....take we for example Poland

the key problem is the access to the EU single market....many countries, especially Poland will agree only if the free movement for EU citiziens will remain.

and now?


If Germany and France want something in Europe, they tend to get it, and I think this will be even more the case after Brexit. I can see smaller (in economic terms) countries coming under immense pressure along the lines of "Britain has gone, if our economies turn down because you're not allowing us to trade with them on good terms, where do you think the money for you is coming from".

The question is what Germany and France will want.
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#699 User is offline   Aberlour10 

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Posted 2017-March-31, 01:30

View PostCyberyeti, on 2017-March-30, 17:38, said:

If Germany and France want something in Europe, they tend to get it, and I think this will be even more the case after Brexit. I can see smaller (in economic terms) countries coming under immense pressure along the lines of "Britain has gone, if our economies turn down because you're not allowing us to trade with them on good terms, where do you think the money for you is coming from".

The question is what Germany and France will want.


Times are changing, the times in which " Brussels compromises" were equal with...what Merkel wants, are over.
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#700 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2017-March-31, 09:54

View PostCyberyeti, on 2017-March-29, 15:51, said:

I'm hoping a certain amount of common sense will break out.

LOL
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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