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matchpoints play problem

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2015-February-12, 03:41

KJ9x
98xx
AJx
xx

A7xx
Axx
KQT9
xx

Sorry, posting from my phone. MP, all NV, N opens 2H weak with both majors and you bid 3S constructive (partner can raise with distribution). LHO leads the HK, RHO plays the 2, standard count/attitude. Opps are not great.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#2 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2015-February-12, 04:58

I would play two top trumps. If the queen has not dropped, play diamonds hoping to get a club discard.
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#3 User is offline   BillPatch 

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Posted 2015-February-12, 12:58

View Postmgoetze, on 2015-February-12, 04:58, said:

I would play two top trumps. If the queen has not dropped, play diamonds hoping to get a club discard.

Edited; The best line. I miscalculated.
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#4 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2015-February-12, 13:19

View PostBillPatch, on 2015-February-12, 12:58, said:

the 30.0% 3♠ makes

How do you get to 30%? My back of the envelope calculation had the contract making around 55% of the time.
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#5 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2015-February-17, 04:37

I played like that too and of course the queen was onside and got a strange look from opps and p. At least diamonds were 3-3. 30%.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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