How light do you balance?
#1
Posted 2012-July-31, 22:15
♠xx
♥J9xx
♦A9xx
♣AJx
Unfavorable vulnerability, matchpoints.
(1D)-P-(P) to you. No special agreements. Expert partner, adequate opponents.
#2
Posted 2012-July-31, 22:28
balancing is hard for nonexperts.
my second choice is 1nt.
#3
Posted 2012-July-31, 23:13
Yu
"But I don't want to go among mad people," Alice remarked.
"Oh, you can't help that," said the Cat: "we're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad."
"How do you know I'm mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the Cat, "or you wouldn't have come here."
#4
Posted 2012-July-31, 23:14
#5
Posted 2012-July-31, 23:26
Does it mean that it's an automatic balance and that it's so obvious that you have to crazy to consider passing? Or does it mean that it's crazy to considering balancing with the hand?
#6
Posted 2012-August-01, 01:57
#7
Posted 2012-August-01, 06:11
#8
Posted 2012-August-01, 06:45
"...we live off being battle-scarred veterans who manage to hate our opponents slightly more than we hate each other. -- Hamman, re: Wolff
#9
Posted 2012-August-01, 07:12
#10
Posted 2012-August-01, 08:58
I'd pass, even though its dangerous at these colors. Per Harry Callahan, "a good man has to know his limitations".
We have a bad 10 count, a poor side suit and length in LHO's suit. Its unlikely we have much of a fit, and whatever plus we have we will make on power. Our doubleton spade is also a warning sign.
You'll hear the standard argument from players about "if we take 8 tricks, we are better off playing the hand than defending". While that is true, it will not do you much good if you are contracting for nine, or if the opponents can find a better strain.
If you balance, you know one of two things are about to happen:
1) Your opponents are going to find their spade fit. Or, LHO is rebidding 1N which will play better than 1♦. Or perhaps RHO suddenly joins the party and bids his long spade or club suit
2) Partner will raise to 3N. Can you blame him looking at a good 13 or 14?
edit: strange choice of poll answers
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#11
Posted 2012-August-01, 09:06
- billw55
#12
Posted 2012-August-01, 09:08
Our overcall style in front of an unpassed partner requires more beef than most and partner would NEVER hang me beyond 2nt especially at mp's
What is baby oil made of?
#13
Posted 2012-August-01, 09:37
The risk / return ratio just doesn't seem right
1. Partner has points, but wasn't able to overcall 1♠
2. The opponents are declaring in a minor, which is rarely good at MP
3. We're red, they're white. The difference between -90 and -100 is a big one.
(10,000th post)
#14
Posted 2012-August-01, 10:08
You gotta draw the line somewhere and to me this is a point shy. By the way I don't think the poll options are necessarily in order.
George Carlin
#15
Posted 2012-August-01, 19:07
Quote
No. What actually happened at the table was that the player holding these cards was in 2nd seat and passed on the first round, and a "discussion" arose as to whether it made any sense at all to play (p)-p-(1D)-p- (p)-1NT as natural (10-12?) even as a passed hand, rather than mini-unusual.
Essentially the answer depends on how many hands there where you would pass in 2nd seat but want to bid 1NT in balancing seat. (For a lot of people who "are a point shy of even thinking about it" the answer is clearly "almost none." For people who like bidding here, perhaps quite a few.)
#16
Posted 2012-August-01, 19:40
Even if you are making some number of notrumps, if you bid then pard is going to get over-excited and you will end up in too high of a contract when you could have gotten an almost guaranteed positive from defending.
If you had a solid 1NT bid (12-14 or whatever your personal range is) that is fine, because then when pard bids 3NT or invites you have a decent shot at making it.
#17
Posted 2012-August-01, 22:01
#19
Posted 2012-August-02, 02:39
Unless explicitly stated, none of my views here can be taken to represent SCBA or any other organizations.
#20
Posted 2012-August-02, 07:05
JLOGIC, on 2012-August-01, 23:12, said:
Maybe I was thinking about this wrong, but:
* it seems like it's right to balance here almost anytime LHO has a weak NT, since I doubt that if we hold > half the deck that we're going to get rich playing for 50s
* if LHO holds a 18-19NT, he'll dbl. Do we have a place to run? RHO is unlikely to hold a 4cM (am I wrong about this? Especially white, it seems like people are responding on air pretty frequently). I have tolerance for clubs and hearts, and the only way pard would run out to spades is if he has 5+ (although admittedly if he has 5 spades this could be ugly since his hand is bad enough that he didn't overcall, the fact that he didn't overcall 1S also makes it less likely that he has 5 spades, so this could be kind of moot).
* if LHO holds 12-17 with diamonds, it also seems like we're likely to have a fit and around half the deck.
The -100 v -90 argument is compelling, but it's kind of a narrow range. I wish I had a good sense of the probabilities here. e.g., if I pass it out, what's my expected score? if I bid 1N, what are the probs that LHO hits it and it floats? that LHO hits it and pard bids? that it floats? that LHO passes and pard bids? And what we expect to score up in each case. But I definitely don't think I do. Hell, I don't even know what partner's expected shape is.
I'm really interested in comments.
"...we live off being battle-scarred veterans who manage to hate our opponents slightly more than we hate each other. -- Hamman, re: Wolff