foo, on May 24 2007, 12:15 PM, said:
To be frank: You got lucky.
The odds do not favor opening ♠KQxx♥KQxx♦Q♣Kxxx 1N showing 15-17 balanced.
Here's why:
1= NT openings preempt Our auction so it's harder for Us to find fits. You are 44 in S+H, the most dangerous holding to have when opening 1N in terms of risking playing in NT when We belong in a Major.
This is actually quite a good point and completely true.
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2= The DQ could be "waste paper".
1:it's not likely to take a trick,
2:it creates a communication problem between your hand and dummy in a NT contract,
3:it increases the chances that the D suit is wide open.
(I changed your quote merely by adding numbers to the points so I could easily respond to them.)
1: That is more than debatable, see my response to 3
2: This is pretty much true so again I agree with you.
3: Completely disagree. There are a number of holdings where singleton Q is better than xx both for running the suit
AKJxx
KJTx
or where it creates an extra stopper/trick
AKx
JTx
Kx
or where they may lead away from the ace or king, giving you an extra trick and stopper from nowhere
Axx
Kxx
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3= Sometimes GOP has a =good= hand.
Then an off-shape 1N opening by you may "hang" GOP.
Just imagine what happens if GOP pushes to 6D with their A rich 15 count and exactly 6D's because they "know" you have 2+D... ...and goes down in the 6-1 "fit" because slam had no play while you can take 10-11 tricks in NT.
If this happens, it will be a very bad board at any form of scoring.
This essentially doesn't seem worth worrying about. Any decent system will give opener a chance to discourage all along once responder shows them. If responder still pushes on to slam in diamonds then his suit and hand will be excellent and I won't mind the stiff Q as support at all. It's like I was already saying, if partner insists on the suit is Q really worse support than xx?
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...No matter how careful they are, under such circumstances GOP =will= change their thinking and bidding ATT because of their expectations or familiarity with your foibles.
I can tell you from experience this isn't true. One partner of mine is quite famous for his bidding 'flights of fancy' among which is opening 1NT on a number of hands with a singleton where other people wouldn't consider it. I both warned him ahead of time and made a point of following through that I would never cater to that, and indeed I always made it a point to transfer to any 5 card major and so on. I suppose you could construct a time it might matter on defense, but none ever occured.
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...Oh BTW, 3N by S is -2 on a H or the DK lead
This is a point FOR opening 1NT, not against. The defense had no information on which to find the right lead. A slower auction could clue them into your diamond shortness and help them tremendously.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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