Posted 2020-December-07, 15:21
This is an interesting hand.
We can infer, with some confidence, that clubs are 6=4, since west passed originally.
I win in dummy, pitching a diamond. I cross to hand in hearts. Now the lines split.
If both follow low, I play the other top heart.
If both follow, I’m cold.
If west shows out on the second trump, I give east his trump trick.I now need the diamond hook, which means east has to play a black card. I win in hand and run the hearts.
I have to commit to east’s shape when I play my last trump.
If he has Kx in diamonds, I can’t pitch down to K9x void Jx void, in the 5 card ending, since west, unless he’s blundered (which I will have seen) can stop the diamonds even with his weakest possible holding of 9xx.
I don’t think east would bid 5C with QJxx QJx Kx xxxx or QJx QJx Kxx xxxx. Why would he think we have slam? He’s pretty much sure of going 500 when we might fail in game or 800 when games the limit. Anyway, most opps will tell me something on the run of the hearts. But I’m probably going to give up on the squeeze and play east for Kx in diamonds
If west plays an honour on the first heart, I’ll take the restricted choice against most west’s. Against a great player, I won’t
Why not? Because a good player will play an honour from QJx!
Note that this dooms us, if we use our dummy entry to take the heart hook.
In fact, I hope west has three hearts, since now the squeeze against east works when west is 2=3=2=6 and also on 3=3=1=6 if his spades are xxx.
I’d still prefer hearts 2=2😀
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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MikeH: If west plays an honour on the first heart, I'll take the restricted choice against most west's. Against a great player, I won't.
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Nige1: Yes A good LHO defender could play an honour whenever he holds 1-3 ♥s (i.e.from QJx tripleton Quack doubleton and Quack singleton).