pilowsky, on 2020-May-11, 03:25, said:
So, when I followed the GIB double-dummy from the original link down the rabbit hole, I came to this position which looked rather good to me. Now EW has no way to prevent 7NT. As you say - anything is possible - afterwards.
To reach that position demands a wrong discard from the defence, they should keep the 9
♠, which means you have to keep the 4th spade and give up a card you don't want to in the minors, which is why you don't start by cashing the hearts (which also butchers your entries).
Practically you're only going to make this if W has Q
♣, but if E drops both black Qs face up on the floor during the auction ...
Trick 1 - Win A
♥
2 - J
♠ overtake with the K
3 - spade towards the A10
4-5 cash the remaining spades finishing in dummy
6 - J
♣ running it if E plays low (and now the reason for keeping the heart entry to dummy becomes clear, as you will need it to be able to cash
♣K)
You now have 13 tricks with the aid of the diamond finesse
IMO...
You should open 2♣ although, playing with Gib, that probably won't save you.
To make 7N, against reasonable defence, you probably need to play double-dummy (e.g. backward finesse ♣J).
I like Pilowski's line. An alternative (losing) line is:
Finesse RHO for ♠Q (because you can pick up ♠Qxxx). Cash some major winners. Cash ♣AK (in case ♣QT drop); then fall back on two ♦ finesses: first advancing ♦Q covered by ♦K and ♦A; and then finessing ♦9. Unlucky.
Bridge is a Kibitzer's game.