Posted 2013-December-11, 23:13
It looks like declarer has a stiff club so ten major suit cards which may be 5-5 or 6-4.
If declarer is 6-4 I don't think we can beat it. With the ♦A as a quick entry he surely would have started ruffing hearts. But if partner has the ♦A there is no room for him to have anything else given the pass of 1♠.
So I would assume declarer is 5-5. In that case the ♠J works as we can retain trump control and give partner a ruff after dummy's second trump is gone. ♥K will not work because declarer can duck. They ought to be defending 2♦X but even strong pairs sometimes don't get these right.
Also, given that the hand is posed as a problem, anyone who has read a sufficient number of books by Kelsey will be struck with an overwhelming urge to lead the ♠J at this point.