barmar, on 2013-October-01, 09:22, said:
True, but some things work especially well against them.
Maybe it's intermediate players, who think they're good, that are most screwed up by it. They know that in general you should balance aggressively, but haven't yet learned that this can be extremely dangerous over mini1NT-P-P because responder can pass with many good hands.
As I mentioned earlier, I have been using the 10-12 1NT for about 25 years. There was an event quite some time ago where it (and everything else) worked extremely well, especially against the top pairs.
I was playing in a Flight "A" pair event on a Saturday at a regional in Cherry Hill, NJ. This was before there were 20 events being conducted simultaneously, so all of the top players were in the event.
At the end of the afternoon session, my partner and I scored about 90% on the last 6 boards to bring us back to slightly above average. A recap sheet was posted listing the top 60 pairs in event after the afternoon session. We did not make the list.
In the evening session, everything we did worked, and our opponents were making mistake after mistake. We had numerous opportunities to open the 10-12 1NT, and every time that we did, we either stole the board or our opponents got themselves into trouble. This was especially true of the top pairs in the event that we faced in the evening session.
On the last board of the evening session, our opps bid up to 7NT which required a guess for a queen in an eight card fit. Needless to say, declarer got it wrong. Shortly after the round was over, but before the results were posted, the DIC looked up at us and said "Congratulations!" We had scored about 74% for the evening session and won the event by over a board.
There have been a number of other situations where our mini NT has resulted in very good results, and a few where it did not. But, in my experience, it has been far more good than bad. And I will never forget that one session where everything worked out in our favor.
{By the way, that event was the middle event of 3 consecutive regional victories at that tournament - the morning KO, which ended Saturday morning, the Flight "A" pairs on Saturday, and the Flight "A" Swiss Teams on Sunday - three regional wins in a 36 hour time span).