gnasher, on 2012-January-27, 10:09, said:
I don't think there is any possibility that RHO has ♦AQxxx. Why wouldn't he have played low on the first club?
He didnt have AQxxx, u are right, and i expect a
♦ lead if that was the case but;
Assune RHO has
x
xxx
AQxxx
AKxx
of course he may think that i(declarer) has 5413 shape and try to give ruff to pd. This is very common flaw of rusinow leads. He thought his pd led from shortness rather than QJx(x) for some reason.
But as u said this is very unlikely due to lead
Here is what i did; after seeing 4-1
♠ i thought i had still decent chances to make game without needing the
♦ Q on and that i shd play it in a way that doesnt disable me from taking
♦ finesse if everything goes bad.
I decided to cash 3 rounds of
♥ (remember RHO already discarded one). So that i can easily make if LHO has 4
♥ next to her 4
♠ regardless of who has
♦Q.
If LHO has only 2
♥ and ruffs 3rd
♥ which is the worst case scenario, whatever she exits with, i can still make if
♦Q is on, so cashing 3
♥ will not cost.
On 3rd
♥ RHO discarded a
♣! Now i was kinda little more comfy after this discard. RHO was a worldclass famous player, this discard was a sign of good things rather than a defensive error.
So i cashed 4th
♥, forcing LHO to ruff (or i can make as if she held 4
♥) i overruffed. Played a
♣ and ruffed and cashed last trump. On 3rd
♣ J dropped and i played a
♦ to 9 which worked and claimed for +1.
Assume
♣J did not drop, i still had the chance to play a
♦ to 9 after clearing trumps in last 3 cards and make if
♦ finesse works, or even when it doesnt work i cld make if RHO made a defensive error and ran out of
♣.
I thought this hand was cool because it was like a stubburn resistance of me to make this game without
♦ finesse if possible from beginning all the way to the end and still being able to keep the ability to finesse if i needed it., and it turned out that it was possible with actual lay out to make it w/o finesse. Unfortunately
♦Q was on for those who went for it in the field. Was sort of an adventure that started with dummy reversal plans and ended up making with totally different tackles.
Here is the deal (i made up the spots w/o looking at original hand, it didnt matter )